NAISS
SUPR
NAISS Projects
SUPR
Compound Northern Hemispheric extremes in ERA5 and CMIP6
Dnr:

NAISS 2026/4-1769

Type:

NAISS Small

Principal Investigator:

Richard Leeding

Affiliation:

Uppsala universitet

Start Date:

2026-10-02

End Date:

2027-09-01

Primary Classification:

10508: Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences

Allocation

Abstract

This project will investigate the co-occurrence of extreme heatwaves, coldwaves, precipitation and wind events across the Northern Hemisphere using ERA5 reanalysis data and CMIP6 models. Individually, these extreme events can cause sever disruption, loss of life and damage to infrastructure costing billions of Euros. When these events occur simultaneously, they can often result in larger impacts than the sum of their individual components. We will determine how well these links are represented in CMIP6 models compared to reanalysis and investigate potential changes in frequency, duration, magnitude and area under different warming scenarios.