This study aims to develop a transparent rule-based model for water sector investment planning. It will
focus on identifying indicators contributing to urban pipeline failures through collaboration with domain
experts. Our research objectives are as follows:
1. Revise conventional renewal rates by introducing rule-based indicators to optimize reinvestment
strategies.
2. Generate interpretable rules based on the Rough sets theory to initially identify interconnected
factors related to pipe failure.
3. Incorporate expert knowledge through the employment of Dempster-Shafer theory for a better
understanding of the phenomenon while accounting for uncertainty and conflict.
4. Compare the model's results with traditional machine learning models to highlight the advantages
of transparent models combined with expert knowledge.
5. Evaluate the integrated model's performance in identifying pipe failures and the interpretability of
derived rules.
By achieving these objectives, this study will contribute to developing more effective and efficient
approaches to identifying and prioritizing reinvestments for municipalities and water utilities in Sweden.
Moreover, fostering a sense of involvement through expert knowledge involvement can enhance
collaboration and increase the likelihood of achieving practical solutions, ensuring politically feasible
outcomes.